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Monday, August 17, 2015

Safety in volatile market

Many blue chip stocks have dropped today. Banks are facing an increase number of risks in relation to the economy.

Oil and gas companies and commodities companies had experienced a lower prices on their commodities. This may slow down loan growth in banks and also companies's ability to pay up.

Property stocks like GLP, Capitaland and HK Land, have dropped due to the weakening of the Chinese currency, with fears that a conversion back to Singapore currency will reflect lower profits.

Cargo volumes dropped, indicating a slowdown in overall economic activity. Companies with lesser profits result in their ability to pay back loans. This factor could lead to a slowdown in bank earnings.

The launch of Singapore bonds on 1 October 2015 will also reduce the amount of cash deposits held in banks as close to about $1 billion a month of Singapore bonds will be issued out in October.

Amid volatile markets and a possible correction, these 2 stocks provide safety in volatile markets:
  1. M1
  2. Q&M Dental
M1

  • Oversold
  • 6% dividend yield at current price
  • Offer cheaper plan to scoop up bottom markets to scare off 4th telco
Q&M Dental
  • Aggressively acquiring clinics in Singapore, Malaysia and China
  • Closest to becoming monopoly in Singapore dental industry
  • price to earnings growth stood at 0.3(PEG is undervalued if less than 1)  after Q2 2015 results

Wednesday, August 5, 2015

M1 target price $2.7

With news that IDA will offer a 60% discount, a forth telco entry sparked a big drop in M1 price. This 60% discount is restricted to new bidders only.

Source: http://www.todayonline.com/singapore/ida-offer-spectrum-lower-price-facilitate-entry-fourth-telco

The IDA said that it does not see the market as being able to support more than four players.

Even with news that a forth telco may be coming into the market, M1 had ramped up its efforts to capture market share by offering the cheapest mobile plans. This plans may lure in more subscribers in attempt to discourage a forth telco entrant. However, there are still no news of who will be the forth telco yet.

Source: http://www.straitstimes.com/tech/m1-rolls-out-cheapest-mobile-plans-aimed-at-consumers-who-do-not-need-handset-upgrade

What price to enter M1 given its attractive dividend yield of 6% at current closing price of 3.05?

5 year historical chart
Source: KE Trade

Trend lines intersect at $2.7
Target entry price: $2.7