Dividend play via Margin financing

Normal dividend play method

Buy stocks under cash account

Example
Initial capital outlay $200,000

Buy xxx stock with a dividend yield of 7%

Total return per annum: $14,000


Margin Financing via Kim Eng

Example
Initial capital outlay $200,000

Buy Grade A stock with a dividend yield of 7%
To find out whether your stock is a grade A stock, click here

With $200,000 stocks as collateral, available financing is $450,000

Utilize $450,000 to buy Grade A stock with 7% yield, interest per annum 2.88%

Total return per annum: $14,000 + $31,500 - $12,960(2.88% interest p.a.)
Total return per annum: $32,540

Risks of margin financing

The risks of margin financing is that if the borrowings used to buy shares fall below a certain ratio level, a cash top up will be needed to maintain a margin ratio of 140%.

With a $200,000 capital outlay of cash/stocks, stocks bought at $450,000

Amount of financing: $250,000

Day 1

Margin ratio = $450,000/($250,000) = 180% (current margin ratio)

Day 2

$450,000 stocks become $340,000

Margin Ratio = $340,000/$250,000 = 136%

A margin ratio of 140% is required to maintain your financing, a failure to top up may cause your shares to be forced sold.

Therefore, in order to maintain the 140% margin ratio, he needs to top up $10,000.

Volatile markets created some buying opportunities

Markets are pretty volatile in the past few weeks. Yellen is hinting a possible Fed interest rates hike this 15-16 December during FOMC meeting.

The STI index was down 0.89% last friday to 2859.12 points.

Stocks to watch next week:

• ST Engineering - war in middle east may drive demands for weapons
• City Developments - In oversold territory (RSI indicator circled in green, Money flow index circled in red) Recent London land acquisitions showed shift to overseas due to government cooling measures on singapore properties.
  
• Global Logistic Properties - e-commerce driving needs for logistics spaces
• Singapore Post - excellent future prospects with recent acquisitions
• Starhill global REIT - dividend yield of 6.8% at current price of 0.755

Next Buying Signal for Stocks

The next buying indicator of a recovering economy is to see weakening of USD. The current strong usd is making exports in the U.S. less attractive. More inflow of usd can inject more funds into capital markets

Why is the weakening of USD?

• IMF bailout of Ukraine requires USD to be strong. However, bond holders refused to write down debts in Ukraine, thus may trigger a potential Fed rise of interest rates in December. (http://www.rferl.org/content/imf-gives-ukraine-loan-after-strong-start-reforms/27164015.html)
• September FOMC meeting, Fed decided to keep interest rates low. A higher interest rates may depress bond prices and trigger a selldown. USD will strengthen and China will benefit due to better export numbers. Will result in lesser export for U.S, thus decreasing employment rate.(http://www.theguardian.com/business/2015/sep/23/the-fed-must-ignore-accusations-of-dithering-over-interest-rates)
• Weakening of USD could be a result of QE 4, or a continued lower interest rates environment in order to boost bond prices, maintain inflation rate and maintain the stock market.

Future of oil price uncertain

Threat to oil price may occur in small occurrences but can get bigger as electric cars and solar energy are becoming more widespread:

• Saudi Arabia, the world's biggest oil exporter is looking towards alternative solar energy to harvest electricity. (http://www.pv-tech.org/news/saudi_arabias_first_pv_inverter_manufacturing_line_opens_to_meet_local_cont)
• Tesla successfully developed electric cars
• China building more charging facilities (http://www.chinadaily.com.cn/business/tech/2015-09/11/content_21842535.htm)
• Reputable investors like Warren Buffett and George Soros are dumping oil stocks (http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-08-14/billionaire-soros-sells-most-of-alibaba-reduces-its-oil-stocks)(http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/08/23/why-did-warren-buffett-sell-700-million-in-oil-sto.aspx)

Safety in volatile market

Many blue chip stocks have dropped today. Banks are facing an increase number of risks in relation to the economy.

Oil and gas companies and commodities companies had experienced a lower prices on their commodities. This may slow down loan growth in banks and also companies's ability to pay up.

Property stocks like GLP, Capitaland and HK Land, have dropped due to the weakening of the Chinese currency, with fears that a conversion back to Singapore currency will reflect lower profits.

Cargo volumes dropped, indicating a slowdown in overall economic activity. Companies with lesser profits result in their ability to pay back loans. This factor could lead to a slowdown in bank earnings.

The launch of Singapore bonds on 1 October 2015 will also reduce the amount of cash deposits held in banks as close to about $1 billion a month of Singapore bonds will be issued out in October.

Amid volatile markets and a possible correction, these 2 stocks provide safety in volatile markets:

1. M1
2. Q&M Dental

M1

• Oversold
• 6% dividend yield at current price
• Offer cheaper plan to scoop up bottom markets to scare off 4th telco

Q&M Dental

• Aggressively acquiring clinics in Singapore, Malaysia and China
• Closest to becoming monopoly in Singapore dental industry
• price to earnings growth stood at 0.3(PEG is undervalued if less than 1)  after Q2 2015 results

M1 target price $2.7

With news that IDA will offer a 60% discount, a forth telco entry sparked a big drop in M1 price. This 60% discount is restricted to new bidders only.

Source: http://www.todayonline.com/singapore/ida-offer-spectrum-lower-price-facilitate-entry-fourth-telco

The IDA said that it does not see the market as being able to support more than four players.

Even with news that a forth telco may be coming into the market, M1 had ramped up its efforts to capture market share by offering the cheapest mobile plans. This plans may lure in more subscribers in attempt to discourage a forth telco entrant. However, there are still no news of who will be the forth telco yet.

Source: http://www.straitstimes.com/tech/m1-rolls-out-cheapest-mobile-plans-aimed-at-consumers-who-do-not-need-handset-upgrade

What price to enter M1 given its attractive dividend yield of 6% at current closing price of 3.05?

5 year historical chart

Source: KE Trade

Trend lines intersect at $2.7
Target entry price: $2.7

Innovalues

Considerations

• Saga Tree Capital bought it since November 14 at an average price of $0.42
• It bought again on 4 jun 15 at an average price of $0.93
• FY2014 saw its net profit increase of 80% while its cash on hand doubled from $11 million to $22 million
• 1st Quarter 2015 saw a net profit increase of 100% while its cash on hand increase 22% from $22 million to $27 million
• Next results scheduled to release on 13 Aug 15

Lum Chang

Considerations

• 17 Feb: Announcement of Yishun mixed development valued at $487 million
• Brings total contract value to $1 billion in 2015
• director start buying back shares from Feb to Jun (after announcing contract win)
• Latest buyback price is at $0.375
• Increase of net cash from $79 million to $122 million in its 3rd Quarter Financial statements

F&N

Considerations

• Close to 5 year low (Figure 1.1)
• Strong SGD enable group to purchase goods at lower costs in Thailand and Malaysia
• Stable Vietnam economy with increase demand for dairy products. (F&N owns 11% stake in Vietnam's largest dairy producer Vinamilk)
• Myanmar brewery was valued at double the price offered by Myanma Economic Holdings.

Figure 1.1

Source: Bloomberg

Sources

• http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/2Qtr-FN-HY15.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=348596)
• http://www.financeasia.com/News/389490,fn-increases-stake-in-vinamilk.aspx 
• http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/fraser-neaves-myanmar-brewery-stake-worth-over-twice-the-bid-price

Beware of China markets

This article explained that the Chinese government are allowing the people to buy stocks with borrowed money, and they can even use their house as collateral to buy stocks. This move is aggressive and not sustainable.

Source: http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-07-06/chinese-imitate-western-steps-with-stock-market-interventions

Although Goldman Sachs and DBS CEO said that the china markets are not in a bubble yet, it could probably be the case of easing the public about the dangers of the China market.

Source:
http://www.smh.com.au/business/markets/goldman-sachs-stays-bullish-on-china-stocks-20150708-gi7cjs

Today, Chinese government told China state-owned firms not to sell shares despite stock market plunge with hope to stablise share prices.

Source:
http://www.straitstimes.com/business/companies-markets/china-tells-central-government-owned-firms-not-to-sell-shares-as-stocks

If there is too much reliance on the government to influence share prices, markets may move up or down corresponding to government decisions rather than fundamentals.

As of now, i think that retail investors should still look into SGX stocks. Although SGX had reported failling liquidilty in the markets. However illiquid SGX may be, it based in Singapore and supported by a stable currency.

As SGX is highly regulated by MAS, it is for now safer to invest here than China.

20k Portfolio in Blue Chips SGX stocks

My perspective of a $20k blue chip stocks for retail investor. Below are a list of stocks that would construct a retail investor portfolio.

Prices of Stocks

• STI ETF ($3.38)
• M1 ($3.25)

4000 shares x STI ETF = $13,520

2000 shares of M1 = $6500

Total cost is = $20,020

STI ETF provides excellent diversification in the event of a single sector crash. Its top 5 holdings include 3 relatively strong Singapore banks namely DBS, OCBC and UOB.

Source: Bloomberg

Current Dividend Yield 2.75%

Over a 10 year period, the STI ETF provided a return of 9.06% including dividends and 5.89% excluding dividends

Source: STI ETF Annual Report

M1's recent drop in price due to news of a fourth telco had became an attractive buy with a dividend yield of 5.83%.

Source: Bloomberg

Its recent first quarter financial statements, M1 slashed off 16% of its debt. Lesser company debts keep M1's balance sheet healthy. 

19 Jun 15, chairman of M1 bought 50,000 shares at $3.23 each. This could be an indication of a slightly undervalued share value.

George Soros is short $1.1 billion in the S&P 500

Should we be afraid?

There are still no clear indication of when will the Fed raise interest rates and now George Soros is betting against the markets.
Source: http://www.marketwatch.com/story/george-soros-goes-short-with-mutual-funds-and-etfs-as-the-sp-500-goes-1400-days-without-a-10-correction-opines-lowriskmutualfundsnet-2015-06-18

Apart from shorting the markets, George Soros also calls for supplying of lethal arms to Ukraine and secret training in Romania to avoid direct NATO presence in Ukraine. In a release by hacker group CyberBerkut, it explained that George Soros collaborated with the US government with an intent win over Ukrainian assets if successful.
Source: http://www.mintpressnews.com/leaked-george-soros-puppet-master-behind-ukrainian-regime/206574/

Coincidently this month, George Soros also bought some speculative stocks like clinical-stage biotechs Juno Therapeutics (NASDAQ: JUNO  ), Kite Pharma (NASDAQ: KITE) and Sarepta Therapeutics (NASDAQ: SRPT).

He also bought communication technology company MaxLinear, Inc. (NYSE:MXL)

These stocks are mid to small cap stocks that are loss making with little or no debts in their balance sheets. It is indeed odd for him to make such acquisitions unless he is short of the markets or funds buying into these stocks, therefore fuelling a temporary rise in their share price to profit from a market correction.

Source:

• http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/05/31/billionaire-george-soros-just-bought-this-highly-s.aspx
• http://www.fool.com/investing/general/2015/05/24/uh-oh-billionaire-george-soros-just-stepped-on-ano.aspx
• http://www.insidermonkey.com/blog/soros-piling-up-maxlinear-inc-mxl-as-stocks-rally-continues-352117/

Jardine Cycle and Carriage: Why did it dilute share value

Jardine raised a $772 million through a rights issue to fund its previous acquisition of Siam City Cement. Why dilute so much share value because of a cement company?

The group structure as a whole, a lot of subsidiaries residing within the Jardine Group have property development businesses and thus, it makes good sense to acquire stakes in Thai's second largest cement maker.

Jardine Cycle and Carriage also owns 50% of Astra International in Indonesia. Its diversity in core business services are a key to managing costs better than other firms.

The dilution of share value will enable the Jardine group to better manage costs in the construction sector throughout its property development subsidiaries.

This rights issue could be due to an anticipation of a possible Fed's interest rate hike later this year, However, it also allows Jardine Cycle and Carriage to reduce costs on funding.

Source: http://www.dealstreetasia.com/stories/jardine-cycle-carriage-to-raise-772m-via-rights-issue-8063/

Why buying index is good

2 available index funds to buy in SGX

• STI ETF
• Nikko AM STI ETF

These indexes act as benchmarks to the Singapore stock exchange and hold a variety of stocks that mimics the performance of the Straits Times Index.

Diagram 1 below shows a list of stocks that Nikko is holding. The chart indicates a variety of sectors of stocks the fund represents, which is attractive because it is well diversified. A retail investor might not have enough funds to construct a portfolio like this, and therefore Nikko and STI ETF are good index funds to consider investing.

Diagram 1 (Nikko AM STI ETF)

Benefits of Index

• Well diversified portfolio
• Low management fees
• Easy to understand
• Safer than aggressive stock picking/trading

Alan Greenspan, an American economist who served as Chairman of the Federal Reserve of the United States from 1987 to 2006 shared his thoughts on investments "The best strategy for equity investment has always been: Buy and hold and forget it,” he said. “Once you start to try and trade the market – I don’t care how good you are, how smart you are — you will not beat an index fund."

Let's all look forward to index funds :)

Noble group, attractive vs not attractive

Noble group has been one of the very 'glamorous' favoured by retail investors. Its share price dropped to 6 year low on 3 Jun 15. Despite its accounting discrepancies, investors are still positive of a rebound.

Below is the summary of findings by Iceberg-Research

Summary of Findings:

Noble exploits the accounting treatment of its associates to avoid large impairments and fabricate profit.-

Yancoal is the most representative example, with a gap of $600m between the carrying and market values. However, the accounting technique has been used for other companies.-

Contrary to what Noble’s management claims, the misfortunes of these associates have a
substantial cash impact on Noble.-

The proclaimed recovery of the Agri business in 2014 was manufactured through the use ofquestionable methods such as subsidies from the group or depreciation cuts.-

We believe the final price for the new associate Agri will be much lower than the provisional $1.5b payment; and/or that Noble will have substantial remaining financial commitments to its new associate. Noble may once again use the accounting for associates to hide the impairment.-

Selling the palm oil business will be very difficult for Noble since the licence of one of its subsidiaries has been revoked by the local government.

Source: Iceberg-Research

The person behind Iceberg isn't someone normal but rather an account or an auditor. He or her understanding of financial statements have shown accounting background.  Carey Wong, an analyst in OCBC investment research in Singapore believes that the person who wrote Iceberg has an accounts background with good understanding of financial statements. Without the report, it is not easy for retail investors to learn about such information. The person could probably be a former employee in Noble in order to understand such detailed accounts engineering.

Even with share price uncertainty, it is not easy to know the actual valuation and how low it could get unless we get some perspective from somewhere. I happened to chance upon Iceberg's third report which gave a hint of how low Noble's price can go."After impairments and using a price-to-book valuation method, we find a valuation of S$0.1 per share." 

Attractive or not attractive?

What's behind IMF asking the Fed to delay interest rates hikes till 2016?

IMF had asked the Fed to delay interest rates hike till 2016. However, is there a reason behind this?

Source: http://money.cnn.com/2015/06/04/news/economy/imf-federal-reserve-rate-hike-2016/

Recently, George Soros, the legendary investor had called on the U.S to provide advanced weapons to aid Ukraine against a Russian aggression. However, Ukraine is broke and therefore if U.S were to go ahead to supply weapons, it will have to be financed through their own pockets.

George Soros advised the Ukrainian leadership to regain control of the markets, in which he could push for the Federal Reserve to extend  a $15 billion three months swap arrangement with the National Bank of Ukraine. Soros told Poroshenko that the IMF would need to come through with a $15 billion package, which was confident would lead the Fed to also come through with more money. This move would reassure the markets to avoid a panic.

Source:
http://english.pravda.ru/news/world/08-06-2015/130910-soros_usa_weapons_poroshenko-0/
http://www.marketoracle.co.uk/Article50995.html

Is this one of the factors that led to the IMF asking for a delay in interest rates hike?

Personal View
I think that with such big political intention out there, interest rates hike could be set for a delay till 2016. US weapons manufacturer will benefit from this. Equity markets in US will continue to rally in a low interest rates environment.

If the war situation between Russia and Ukraine tightened, oil price could go up as well. Inflation rates will not be spared as the cost of living increase around the world.

Investors who hold equities and properties will continue to ride the inflation wave. With so much outflow in US, investment in US treasury bonds may not bean attractive option.

The low ringgit in Malaysia is unusual because oil price recovered to $58-62 per barrel from previously a low of $40 a barrel, but yet the ringgit is not strengthening. There is more to be discovered on the weakening of the ringgit.

I'm heading to bed now, so i'll end my blog post here. Good night!

5 articles that hint a oil price crash

These articles were search between May to Jul 2014, a start of the plunge in oil prices. These were some of the indicators that were overlooked by investors like myself, who currently hold on to a substantial stockpile of oil stocks.

Although it was a painful lesson, it was important to know the reason for such events to impact the global financial markets.

Below are a list of interesting reads before the plunging of oil price:

9 Reasons Why Oil Prices May Be Headed For A Bust (9 June 2014)
http://www.forbes.com/sites/jessecolombo/2014/06/09/9-reasons-why-oil-prices-may-be-headed-for-a-bust/

North American Oil Glut to Keep Prices Low, IMF says (9 Apr 2014) 
http://oilprice.com/Energy/Oil-Prices/North-American-Oil-Glut-to-Keep-Prices-Low-IMF-says.html

Obama aims oil weapon at Putin but will he pull the trigger? (11 May 2014)
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/commodities/10823349/Obama-aims-oil-weapon-at-Putin-but-will-he-pull-the-trigger.html

EU, U.S. announce new sanctions on Russia over Ukraine (29 Jul 2014)
Obama Takes Step Toward US Oil Exports, And Maybe New US Energy Policy For 21st Centuryhttp://www.forbes.com/sites/lorensteffy/2014/06/25/oil-exports-a-step-toward-21st-century-energy-policy/

Inflation, the cost of borrowing future money

Inflation causes the poor to be poorer and the rich to be richer. Cost of food and transportation have increased with time, and the cost of them will continue to increase as long as we are living in the world of borrowed money.

Future money, and lots of future money were borrowed to meet GDP growth expectations and create jobs for the people. US introduced quantitive easing to erase borrowed future money that cannot be repaid. By keeping interest rates low, they allowed rich corporations to become even richer because companies can now borrow money at rates close to zero.

Apple had $194 billion in cash, which is enough to buy 2 McDonald's corporation.
Source : http://techcrunch.com/2015/04/27/apple-now-has-194-billion-in-cash/#.39s1m0:e9Vj

More countries are either erasing debts or printing more money in the world today, and these polices have desirable results to improve the overall economy. However, these achievements have been successful at the expense of consumers which is the middle and low income bracket household. Things either became more expensive like food, transportation and services or cheaper like communications and electronics. Companies or small medium enterprises faced increased in costs which hopefully can be passed on to consumers or customers.

These scenarios are evident of the inflation structured economy today that we live in. And if we still keep our money in the bank, the value of our money could end up depreciating faster than we could imagine. A bowl of noodles now cost $3-4 may soon be $5-6 in two to 3 years time. MRT rides that cost $0.79 will soon be $1.

This is the cost of borrowing future money which affects us in an invisible way.

BreadTalk Group

This company issued a number of buybacks on 16-17 Apr, 22-23 Apr since its release of its full year 2014 financial statement.

It is currently holding $95 million in cash and its debts stood at $154 million. Its debt is 1.62 times its cash, which still looks healthy on their balance sheet.

Management states its intention to explore opportunities to grow their business in India, Myanmar, Cambodia, Japan and Australia and lastly, China.

Its main business derives from consumer demand, and therefore is resilient against economic downturn.

With the buyback mandate issued by the company, is could be an indicator of a good buy in this stock.

M1, a relatively stable Blue Chip Stock

M1 is relatively stable, given its consistent payout of dividends and rolling out of its 4G network. Although it only focuses on non-tv business, it experienced a healthy net profit growth of 6.6% in its 1st quarter of 2015 as compared to 2014.

It reduced its borrowing from $52 million to $3.8 million, a 92% reduction and also see its cash flow reduced by 83% from 103.9 million to $17.8 million.

Without the need to concentrate on TV business unlike Starhub and Singtel, it should have more resources to its 3 core services namely Mobile telecommunications, International call services and fixed services.

RIP Lee Kuan Yew

Condolences to our founding father Mr Lee Kuan Yew, who passed away on the 26 Mar 15 at the age of 91.

It is no doubt that the success of Singapore are fruits of the seeds you sow many years ago.

My ideal US portfolio

Apple

Not only because its Iphone target the upper class market share, Apple had put in a lot of effort to develop an ecosystem within its products. One of the example is iCloud which links all the data of the mac products together.

Visa

One of the highest market share in online / non-online payment services which i see as a very defensive stock.

3M

Developed products that are very durable and its excellent manufacturing quality is curved within its brand that is not easy or rather quite impossible to duplicate.

Disney

Targets the kids around the world with fun, entertaining and educational media which mature with them through adulthood , and they spare no effort to constantly market their brands.

Undervalued stock, Nam Cheong

Nam cheong seems to be one of the very undervalued stocks that is affected by the slump in oil price. Recently, it had sold 2 of its vessels for US $58m and its book orders stood healthily at $635 million ringgit.

Source: http://www.businesstimes.com.sg/companies-markets/nam-cheong-clinches-us58m-orders-for-two-vessels

It has a PE ratio of 5, with a 5% dividend growth rate and its price stood at 1 year low.

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/quote/NCL:SP


Assessment

Since it sold 2 vessels in USD and its financial statements deal in ringgit, it is very likely that this deal will cause a spike in earnings.

Indicators of a possible interest rates hike

There had been some speculation of Fed raising interest rates. There are some indicators to suggest that interest rates are indeed about to rise.

Below are some of the news to indicate rising interest rates

• Beware of Apple Bond Sales: Company Has Knack for Calling a Top
• Time to haul off and buy junk bonds

SIBOR rates have risen

According to todayonline.com, SIBOR rates hit a 7 years high in Singapore. Seems like new properties have to slash their prices even more to make up for the rise in SIBOR.

Cooling measures from the government are still in place for properties, but whether it will be lifted after a rising SIBOR rates is unknown. As for now, property companies with developments in Singapore could be hit the hardest from this.

Source : http://www.todayonline.com/singapore/homeowners-hit-sibor-rises-highest-seven-years

REITS are in the danger zone if interest rates continue to rise. It is now the best time to keep some cash and wait for something to happen.

What stocks would i buy now?

After Isetan lost $3.1m due to surging rental and keen competition from other new malls. Its future prospects were faced with challenges of increased online shopping.

Source: http://www.channelnewsasia.com/news/business/isetan-lost-s-3-1m-last/1685270.html

As more consumers move to online shopping, there will be more demand for logistics sector in terms of warehouses for storing goods and courier services to deliver goods.

3 sectors for growth (Online shopping)

• Online payment services
• Logistics and warehousing
• Insurance (to protect online consumers)

There are a few stocks that i see opportunity in but not all of them are cheap at the moment.

• Singapore post - Established a good online platform for online shopping and a leading provider of mail, logistics and retail solutions in Singapore
• Global Logistics Property - Invest and own logistic warehouses around the world, also owned or partially owned by state-run wealth fund
• Mastercard (US. listed)  - Provides to a bulk of online and offline payments around the world

ES group a potential takeover target?

In its FY2014 report, the group explained about its direction for growth.  "The Group remains on the lookout for opportunities to expand its core business while exploring possible mergers and acquisitions with a view to enhance shareholders’ value in the long run."

Source: http://infopub.sgx.com/FileOpen/ESGroup_FY2014_Results_27Feb15.ashx?App=Announcement&FileID=336684

Although revenue decreased by 18%, net profit increased by 218%. This company is expanding fast with very little debt and having a lot of customer backlogs to fulfill. It is in my opinion a fast growing small company with very little or low risk despite a falling oil price.

A right decision to sell Pan United

I bought Pan united on the 1 Oct 12 and sold it on 16 May 14. Initially, i see this company as a dominant supplier of basic building materials in Singapore, coupled with huge government initiatives to upgrade infrastructure and build public housing.

However, the company acquired Changshu Changjiang International Port (CCIP) for RMB436.5m in Feb 14. The news was bad in my perspective because port facilities will incur more expenses to maintain.

I like its supply of basic building materials business in Singapore, but do not like that fact that it is acquiring a port and not focusing on its profitable business. With so much assets to handle, this company may not be able to concentrate on what's most profitable to itself as well as to shareholders.

The image below is taken from SGX website show a review of its FY2014 performance indicating that CCIP was part of an increase in interest costs and depreciation expenses.

2 company that reported good earnings

Chip Eng Seng - year to year increase of 282.6% in net profit.

• Developer
• Investments in hospitality/property

Future prospects

Its investment efforts are targeted at recurring income for future growth. Although future is promising for this, a spike in interest rates may affect this company due to high borrowings.

TREK 2000 INTERNATIONAL LTD - year to year increase of 137.85% in net profit.

• Consumer electronics manufacturer

Future prospects

The future of IT electronics sector remains uncertain as to whether the company can continuously keep up with innovation and reap from its R&D efforts.

MBSB Bursa a Strong buy

Malaysian Building Society Bank (MBSB) saw its net profit climbed to RM1.02 billion, a 70% increase in its 2014 full year as compared to 2013. There was a news that MBSB was the fastest growing enterprise in Malaysia 2014.

MBSB was about 70% owned by Malaysia's EPF, which is seen as a government-linked entity.

I think this company will continue to grow, and given its new 5 year growth strategy from 2015-2019 of changing its retail to corporate exposure from 85:15 to 70:30, it will acclaim more revenue from corporate customers, which are bigger slices of the pie.

Top 5 Blue Chip Stocks to buy in 2015

• Raffles Medical - Room for growth when hospital expansion is completed
• Keppel Corp - Low oil price and cheap acquisition of Keppel Land
• ComfortDelgro - Stable and very good long term prospects
• Silverlake Axis - Consistant annual growth and a heavy cash cow
• UOB - prefer UOB which have lesser exposure as compared to DBS and OCBC

Wishing all a happy chinese new year! I'll looking forward to a remisier role around June period. 

If you like my blog, do support me by opening an account with me :)

Oil price have dropped, but demand is picking up as well

Source: http://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2015-02-11/goldman-here-s-why-oil-crashed-and-why-lower-prices-are-here-to-stay

As the chart hit the February period, demand has picked up as well. The justification for the increase in demand is unknown. Our vehicles do not consume more fuel than before, or rather that fuel prices have gone down that we can travel cheaply. But yet that do not justify the vast increase as well, unless oil consuming countries like India, China and US are aggressively buying them into their oil reserves.

The cheap oil prices could also improve profitability of the transport sector as well. A long decrease in oil prices could allow transport companies, utility companies to reduce their expenses.

Global Logistic Properties

Source: Bloomberg

After a number of corrections, the price seemed to have reached a level where geopolitical risks seemed to have been factored in.

However, whether this stock has reached the lowest is unknown. However, i am optimistic that this stock will be a long term future growth stock due to the portfolio of assets supporting e-commerce companies.

Be careful of China

China's growth story can be bullish but the amount of debts that could be haunting the country is worrying.

Source: http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/085e0368-a534-11e4-bf11-00144feab7de.html#axzz3QX7IXZuC

Bank stocks in Singapore like DBS and OCBC have been soaring as well and both banks have exposure to China.

Since the change of lot sizes from 1000 to 100, investors can now have the option to switch DBS and OCBC for UOB, which have lowest exposure to China among its peers.

Source: http://sbr.com.sg/commercial-property/news/chart-day-heres-how-risky-singapore-banks-china-exposure-can-get

Buying indicators for Swissco

Firstly, from 26 Dec 14 to 22 Jan 15, there was about 5 instances of insider buying.

Secondly, it is hitting close to its 1 year low.

Source: Bloomberg

How warrants can reduce your risks in the stock market

This is a video by Macquarie Investor Academy to show you how warrants can reduce your risk exposure to the volatility of the stock market.

Structured Warrant Video by Macquarie Investor Academy

Positive indicators on Maybank

I am extremely positive on Maybank, the largest bank in Malaysia. Although Malaysia is the worst performing markets last year, it seemed that Bursa could be on the oversold side which could project attractive buying for investors as US markets becomes expensive.

These are 3 reason why i am bullish on Maybank.

Firstly, Maybank's insurance arm Etiqa reported lesser profits due to insurance payouts for MH17 and MH370. The current market price for Maybank have priced in that factor.

Secondly, although it reported lesser profits, Singapore operations grew by 5% and its Philliphines operation grew healthily at 31%. Natural disasters had struck Malaysia with floods and Philliphines with typhoons that destroyed homes and companies. The demand for loans will be huge as these people seek to find shelter, food/daily essentials and services.

Thirdly, Maybank is at a discount to foreign investors due to the weaker ringgit and bearish Bursa.

Good time to pick up oil and gas stocks

If you have a good balance portfolio and do not have oil and gas related stocks, now is a good time to grab them at a discount with the free falling of crude oil prices.